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Unformatted text preview: Choosing a Trading System That Actually Works Background I believe a good trading system should be considered for inclusion in ones portfolio in order to potentially enjoy superior returns.* Finding a good trading system, however, can be a very difficult process. So it becomes necessary to have a way of distinguishing good systems from the rest. Fortunately, there is a way to do this by using a demanding set of criteria that I believe must be met in order for you to consider using the system. The purpose of this report is to define the criteria that I believe will enable you to identify the good systems out there from all the rest. Bill Poulos, founder of Profits Run *Futures trading is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading futures. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the Instant Profits methodology or system will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses. Criteria Listed below are the key elements of the criteria set you should use in evaluating a trading system. A good trading system will meet the requirements of each key element whereas many systems will only meet some requirements. For example, a trading system may be advertised as having 80% winning trades which sounds pretty good. However, that same systems losing trades may be 5 times higher than the average winning trade, making the system a net loser. Mechanical System The trading system must be 100% mechanical without any human input or overrides. It must also not be tweaked or adjusted as time goes on to fit current data. Also, the system algorithms or rules must not be curve-fitting or tailored to short term, non-repetitive patterns of past data that eliminate otherwise losing trades. A good way to screen for curve-fitting is to look for consistently good results over a minimum of 5 years of past data that meet all of the other criteria outlined in this report as well.

TERM Spring '12 PROFESSOR Svendsson TAGS Mechanical System, Bill Poulos.

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